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OPINION: Considerations for Brexit
OPINION: Considerations for Brexit

Following on from our first Brexit article last month, this past week have given us some indications over what the UK government is thinking in terms of Brexit negotiations.

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Weekly Commodity Report 13th January 2020
Weekly Commodity Report 13th January 2020

The Sterling has been relatively stable; Friday saw the long-anticipated January WASDE report from the USDA; The soya market is still focused on the phase one trade deal which should be signed this week; The demand for soya meal, has led to a small reduction in the price of soya oil; Seventeen-year-old Wolf Cukier made a great first impression on a 5-week internship with NASA;

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Weekly Commodity Report 6th January 2020
Weekly Commodity Report 6th January 2020

Paris wheat futures started the week on a 6 month high; The UK market is still stuck between the bumper crop of 2019 and a potentially smaller 2020 harvest; With reduced pressure on the US markets and the Black Sea now expecting a more buoyant crop in 2020; Currency has remained relatively stable; Expectation that the Phase 1 China/US trade deal will be signed this month;

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Weekly Commodity Report 8th December 2019
Weekly Commodity Report 8th December 2019

Currency has firmed in anticipation of a Tory victory in the election this coming week; Better weather in France, has allowed their soft wheat planting to be reported to have improved to 83%; BAGE reported positive progress in the Argentine planting progress; China announced that it will drop tariffs on US soya beans and pork imports; A WW1 German battleship has been discovered off the coast of the Falkland Islands;

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Weekly Commodity Report 1st December 2019
Weekly Commodity Report 1st December 2019

Currency has remained remarkedly stable since the Brexit deadline was postponed again; The price of UK wheat remained firm this week; New crop planting is still only 50% complete; French wheat plantings have made little further progress, mirroring the UK; The Russian Agriculture ministry downgraded the 2019 crop to 75 Mln T; The US announced that it would remove harsh import tariffs against many Chinese imports.

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Weekly Commodity Report 16th November 2019
Weekly Commodity Report 16th November 2019

The UK market remains focused on new crop drilling concerns that next year there will be a smaller crop; As a result prices have firmed and finished the week at £152/T on the May 19 contract; The weather concerns also continue in the EU; The political focus remains on the Election; The Black sea is experiencing its own weather concerns with temperatures expected to drop sharply.

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Weekly Commodity Report 9th November 2019
Weekly Commodity Report 9th November 2019

The USDA report out this week could have caused some market excitement but was little changed from the previous report; The UK crop is still behind on planting as the wet weather is giving little chance to catch up; Unfortunately for the UK the unknowns of our politics/currency and Brexit are currently enough to mean we are not seeing much benefit from this.

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Weekly Commodity Report 3rd November 2019
Weekly Commodity Report 3rd November 2019

Quiet week in commodities; Reflective moment following Bexit extension; Poor weather is having effect on drilling; Potential poor yields firms up new crop contract; France and Germany reporting delays in planting; Ukraine exports rise; Weather globally affecting wheat crops, but also assisting soya development in some areas; Lack of trust in China / US trade deal, and Return of Peronist regime in Argentina concerning farmers. 100 drawing in 100 days…

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Weekly Commodity Report 26th October 2019
Weekly Commodity Report 26th October 2019

Politics, Brexit, remains the only market driver; Currency is providing big swings on markets day to day; New crops trading at considerable premium; Wheat production for 2019/20 higher year on year; Russia leads wheat export sales ranking; Positive news re China trade deal; Rain inflicted damage on Indian soya production; Is life simply a rat race… for one rat it just might be!

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